Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grabovski 48.5% vs Kesler 57.0% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grabovski 79.1%
Defensive zone
Grabovski 85.8%
Neutral zone
Grabovski 80.7%
Result
Mikhail Grabovski favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Grabovski
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Grabovski
Kesler
Last 7: Grabovski 1-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grabovski
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Grabovski
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Grabovski
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grabovski
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (992)
57.3% (1,022)
-9.5%
Power Play
51.4% (222)
61.5% (200)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (77)
54.9% (257)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Grabovski is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Grabovski shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Home / Away
Grabovski
Kesler
Home
50.0% (658)
58.6% (766)
Away
46.9% (668)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Grabovski
Kesler
P1
49.3%
58.9%
P2
47.2%
56.8%
P3
48.4%
57.5%
OT
54.5%
31.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 10:53 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |