Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grabovski 50.5% vs Ott 54.8% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grabovski 65.8%
Defensive zone
Grabovski 63.3%
Neutral zone
Grabovski 66.4%
Result
Mikhail Grabovski favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Grabovski
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Grabovski
Ott
Last 8: Grabovski 3-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
2
Grabovski
Ott
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grabovski
Ott
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
1
2
Grabovski
Ott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grabovski
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (568)
54.8% (305)
-2.9%
Power Play
39.1% (69)
56.8% (95)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
57.0% (135)
+43.0%
On penalty kill, Grabovski has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Grabovski is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Grabovski shoots left. Ott is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Grabovski
Ott
Home
51.6% (318)
58.7% (271)
Away
49.7% (320)
52.7% (264)
By Period
Grabovski
Ott
P1
52.6%
60.4%
P2
49.5%
54.0%
P3
50.5%
52.6%
OT
20.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
50.6%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 09:41 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 04:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |