Mikhail Grabovski vs Tim Connolly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikhail Grabovski holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Grabovski on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grabovski 50.2% vs Connolly 47.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Grabovski leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Grabovski 57.5%
Defensive zone
Grabovski 63.5%
Neutral zone
Grabovski 65.5%
Result
Mikhail Grabovski favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Grabovski
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Grabovski
Connolly
Last 10: Grabovski 4-6 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
4
3
Grabovski
Connolly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
6
2
Grabovski
Connolly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
2
3
Grabovski
Connolly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grabovski
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,443)
47.4% (1,307)
+2.6%
Power Play
52.1% (459)
50.2% (251)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
41.9% (186)
+3.3%
On penalty kill, Grabovski has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Grabovski is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,443).
Grabovski shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Grabovski
Connolly
Home
51.0% (2,090)
48.5% (870)
Away
49.3% (1,966)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Grabovski
Connolly
P1
50.0%
47.4%
P2
49.9%
47.7%
P3
50.6%
47.0%
OT
53.3%
37.8%
Final 5 min
48.0%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
50.2%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 12:04 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 00:10 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |