Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Grabovski on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grabovski 48.1% vs Hertl 54.9% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 78.7%
Defensive zone
Hertl 75.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 83.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 82.5%
17.5%
82.5%
Grabovski
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Grabovski
Hertl
Last 7: Grabovski 5-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
1
0
Grabovski
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grabovski
4
2
Grabovski
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grabovski
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (427)
55.0% (382)
-6.1%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
59.7% (67)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
75.0% (8)
-75.0%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Grabovski is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Grabovski shoots left. Hertl is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Grabovski
Hertl
Home
49.4% (241)
58.8% (221)
Away
45.9% (222)
53.4% (236)
By Period
Grabovski
Hertl
P1
46.0%
52.6%
P2
49.4%
53.6%
P3
46.6%
62.4%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.8%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 03:30 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 00:36 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |