Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Grabovski on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grabovski 48.1% vs Bozak 55.8% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 87.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 56.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 72.2%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Grabovski
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Grabovski
Bozak
Last 7: Grabovski 5-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
1
0
Grabovski
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
4
1
Grabovski
Bozak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Grabovski
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grabovski
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (427)
56.4% (837)
-7.5%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
60.8% (186)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
33.3% (36)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Grabovski is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Grabovski shoots left. Bozak is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Grabovski
Bozak
Home
49.4% (241)
58.7% (516)
Away
45.9% (222)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Grabovski
Bozak
P1
46.0%
55.7%
P2
49.4%
53.4%
P3
46.6%
59.7%
OT
100.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
41.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 12:00 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |