Scouting Report
Mikhail Grigorenko holds a +19.9% FO% edge overall. Shaw wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Grigorenko shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 42.9% vs Grigorenko 55.1% (-19.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 55.3%
Defensive zone
Grigorenko 57.8%
Neutral zone
Shaw 51.5%
Result
Mikhail Grigorenko favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Shaw
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Shaw
Grigorenko
Last 5: Shaw 2-3 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
1
Shaw
Grigorenko
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Grigorenko
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Grigorenko
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (133)
54.8% (157)
-16.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
40.0% (5)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
76.7% (30)
-49.4%
On power play, Shaw has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Shaw is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Shaw shoots right. Grigorenko is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Shaw
Grigorenko
Home
42.2% (64)
64.4% (118)
Away
34.6% (81)
47.3% (74)
By Period
Shaw
Grigorenko
P1
28.3%
54.2%
P2
43.4%
55.6%
P3
46.9%
63.9%
Final 5 min
43.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
37.9%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |