Mikhail Grigorenko vs Mikko Koivu
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikhail Grigorenko holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Grigorenko wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grigorenko 55.1% vs Koivu 54.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grigorenko 63.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 68.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 56.3%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Grigorenko
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Grigorenko
Koivu
Last 7: Grigorenko 3-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
1
0
Grigorenko
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
4
Grigorenko
Koivu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grigorenko
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (157)
55.3% (1,219)
-0.5%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
63.5% (200)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
76.7% (30)
48.9% (280)
+27.8%
On penalty kill, Grigorenko has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Grigorenko is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Grigorenko shoots left. Koivu is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
Grigorenko
Koivu
Home
64.4% (118)
55.6% (846)
Away
47.3% (74)
54.9% (853)
By Period
Grigorenko
Koivu
P1
54.2%
57.4%
P2
55.6%
55.5%
P3
63.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
57.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |