Mikhail Grigorenko vs Paul Stastny
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikhail Grigorenko holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Grigorenko wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grigorenko 55.1% vs Stastny 55.4% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grigorenko 60.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 56.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 56.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Grigorenko
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Grigorenko
Stastny
Last 6: Grigorenko 2-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Grigorenko
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Grigorenko
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grigorenko
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (157)
55.4% (1,004)
-0.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
59.0% (210)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
76.7% (30)
54.1% (196)
+22.6%
On penalty kill, Grigorenko has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Grigorenko is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Grigorenko shoots left. Stastny is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Grigorenko
Stastny
Home
64.4% (118)
56.5% (717)
Away
47.3% (74)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Grigorenko
Stastny
P1
54.2%
56.7%
P2
55.6%
57.7%
P3
63.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
57.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 01:22 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |