Mikhail Grigorenko vs Tyler Gaudet
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tyler Gaudet holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Grigorenko on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Grigorenko wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gaudet shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grigorenko 44.8% vs Gaudet 48.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudet 56.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudet 53.8%
Neutral zone
Gaudet 54.5%
Result
Tyler Gaudet favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Grigorenko
Gaudet
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Grigorenko
Gaudet
Last 5: Grigorenko 3-2 Gaudet
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudet
0
1
Grigorenko
Gaudet
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
1
0
Grigorenko
Gaudet
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
2
1
Grigorenko
Gaudet
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grigorenko
Gaudet
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (311)
45.7% (81)
-2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
55.6% (9)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Gaudet has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudet shoots left. Grigorenko is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Grigorenko shoots left. Gaudet is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Grigorenko
Gaudet
Home
44.8% (172)
44.2% (52)
Away
41.8% (177)
50.0% (40)
By Period
Grigorenko
Gaudet
P1
36.6%
50.0%
P2
51.8%
34.5%
P3
42.6%
54.3%
Final 5 min
35.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
43.3%
Gaudet
40.0%▼
45.8%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Tyler Gaudet |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 04:28 | Neutral | Tyler Gaudet |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |