Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Maltsev on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.1% vs Maltsev 47.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Maltsev 53.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 50.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Hayes
Maltsev
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hayes
Maltsev
Last 7: Hayes 3-4 Maltsev
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Maltsev
3
4
Hayes
Maltsev
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Maltsev
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (394)
46.2% (158)
+2.5%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
100.0% (1)
-38.8%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
0.0% (1)
+34.3%
On power play, Maltsev has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Maltsev shoots left. Hayes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Hayes shoots left. Maltsev is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Hayes
Maltsev
Home
50.6% (237)
46.2% (91)
Away
47.3% (241)
46.4% (69)
By Period
Hayes
Maltsev
P1
43.9%
40.4%
P2
47.3%
56.4%
P3
55.9%
41.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.0%
Maltsev
48.0%▼
53.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Mikhail Maltsev |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Mikhail Maltsev |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 02:33 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Mikhail Maltsev |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Mikhail Maltsev |