Scouting Report
Mikhail Vorobyev holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Vorobyev wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vorobyev 53.3% vs Roy 48.8% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vorobyev 61.3%
Defensive zone
Vorobyev 64.0%
Neutral zone
Vorobyev 57.9%
Result
Mikhail Vorobyev favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Vorobyev
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Vorobyev
Roy
Last 5: Vorobyev 3-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Vorobyev
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vorobyev
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vorobyev
2
0
Vorobyev
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vorobyev
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (131)
50.6% (176)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
11.1% (9)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Vorobyev has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Vorobyev is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Vorobyev shoots left. Roy is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Vorobyev
Roy
Home
56.0% (50)
50.0% (88)
Away
55.6% (90)
46.7% (105)
By Period
Vorobyev
Roy
P1
51.0%
57.7%
P2
56.8%
46.6%
P3
60.0%
39.1%
Final 5 min
55.6%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vorobyev
62.0%▲
50.0%
55.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Mikhail Vorobyev |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Mikhail Vorobyev |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Mikhail Vorobyev |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |