Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Koivu 52.8% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 82.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 57.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 69.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Henrique
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Henrique
Koivu
Last 8: Henrique 6-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
0
Henrique
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Henrique
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
53.9% (592)
-0.4%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
54.2% (96)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
48.8% (123)
+2.1%
On power play, Henrique has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Henrique is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Henrique shoots left. Koivu is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Henrique
Koivu
Home
57.4% (467)
52.8% (386)
Away
52.7% (463)
53.4% (425)
By Period
Henrique
Koivu
P1
55.4%
51.7%
P2
56.7%
54.8%
P3
54.0%
53.3%
OT
22.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |