Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Koivu 54.9% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 76.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 70.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 72.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Lowry
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Lowry
Koivu
Last 7: Lowry 1-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Lowry
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Lowry
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
55.3% (1,268)
-8.3%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
57.6% (321)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
51.0% (202)
-6.0%
On even strength, Koivu has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Lowry shoots left. Koivu is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Lowry
Koivu
Home
49.2% (425)
58.3% (906)
Away
45.3% (426)
52.1% (885)
By Period
Lowry
Koivu
P1
53.6%
53.0%
P2
39.8%
55.6%
P3
48.5%
56.6%
OT
0.0%
64.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 08:07 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |