Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Koivu 54.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 79.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 51.1%
Neutral zone
Koivu 63.8%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Lowry
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Lowry
Koivu
Last 9: Lowry 3-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Lowry
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Lowry
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Koivu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
55.1% (672)
+3.5%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
56.5% (115)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
49.5% (107)
+4.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Lowry is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Lowry shoots left. Koivu is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Lowry
Koivu
Home
61.0% (602)
56.6% (410)
Away
53.7% (514)
52.9% (484)
By Period
Lowry
Koivu
P1
57.3%
51.7%
P2
58.1%
56.7%
P3
57.4%
55.3%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
61.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 09:54 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |