Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Loktionov 45.8% vs Koivu 52.1% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Loktionov 73.6%
Defensive zone
Loktionov 69.4%
Neutral zone
Loktionov 71.5%
Result
Andrei Loktionov favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Loktionov
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Loktionov
Koivu
Last 9: Loktionov 2-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Loktionov
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Loktionov
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
4
Loktionov
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Loktionov
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (138)
52.5% (802)
-9.7%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
52.0% (198)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
49.5% (105)
+50.5%
On penalty kill, Loktionov has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Loktionov is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (104).
Loktionov shoots left. Koivu is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Loktionov
Koivu
Home
40.9% (93)
54.6% (584)
Away
46.4% (56)
49.7% (539)
By Period
Loktionov
Koivu
P1
48.1%
50.7%
P2
30.6%
51.1%
P3
51.1%
54.4%
OT
0.0%
57.6%
Final 5 min
46.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Loktionov
36.0%▼
41.0%
43.0%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Andrei Loktionov |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Andrei Loktionov |