Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Vermette wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 61.3% vs Koivu 54.9% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 80.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 74.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 76.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 77.3%
22.7%
77.3%
Vermette
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
17
(27 meetings)
10
17
Vermette
Koivu
Last 10: Vermette 1-9 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
8
Vermette
Koivu
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
6
Vermette
Koivu
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
3
Vermette
Koivu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
62.4% (880)
55.3% (1,219)
+7.1%
Power Play
63.0% (135)
63.5% (200)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (180)
48.9% (280)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Vermette is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Vermette shoots left. Koivu is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
Vermette
Koivu
Home
63.4% (585)
55.6% (846)
Away
61.1% (610)
54.9% (853)
By Period
Vermette
Koivu
P1
62.5%
57.4%
P2
63.4%
55.5%
P3
60.9%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
61.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
62.3%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |