Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lander on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lander wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 44.8% vs Koivu 52.1% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 53.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 51.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 52.6%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Lander
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lander
Koivu
Last 7: Lander 3-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Lander
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lander
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lander
2
1
Lander
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (296)
52.5% (802)
-6.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
52.0% (198)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
49.5% (105)
-22.8%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Lander is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Lander shoots left. Koivu is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Lander
Koivu
Home
47.7% (195)
54.6% (584)
Away
37.6% (149)
49.7% (539)
By Period
Lander
Koivu
P1
39.7%
50.7%
P2
45.9%
51.1%
P3
45.0%
54.4%
OT
0.0%
57.6%
Final 5 min
42.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
43.3%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |