Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Comeau wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 47.4% vs Koivu 54.9% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Comeau 72.7%
Defensive zone
Koivu 51.1%
Neutral zone
Comeau 62.9%
Result
Blake Comeau favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Comeau
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Comeau
Koivu
Last 6: Comeau 1-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Comeau
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Comeau
1
0
Comeau
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Comeau
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (158)
55.3% (1,219)
-7.8%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
63.5% (200)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (61)
48.9% (280)
-7.9%
On power play, Koivu has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Comeau is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Comeau shoots right. Koivu is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Comeau
Koivu
Home
49.3% (134)
55.6% (846)
Away
42.9% (112)
54.9% (853)
By Period
Comeau
Koivu
P1
41.0%
57.4%
P2
55.0%
55.5%
P3
42.7%
52.6%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
38.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
46.3%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 15:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |