Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.1%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Koivu 54.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 51.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 57.6%
Neutral zone
Jenner 52.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Jenner
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Jenner
Koivu
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
4
Jenner
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Jenner
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
2
Jenner
Koivu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
54.0% (9,465)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
58.6% (2,100)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
48.9% (1,688)
-0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Jenner
Koivu
Home
54.5% (4,051)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Jenner
Koivu
P1
53.7%
53.5%
P2
53.5%
54.6%
P3
54.4%
54.0%
OT
54.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 19:09 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 01:05 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |