Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.6%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.8% vs Koivu 54.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 63.9%
Defensive zone
Jenner 62.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 54.2%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Jenner
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Jenner
Koivu
Last 8: Jenner 2-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Jenner
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Jenner
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (923)
55.1% (672)
-0.8%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
56.5% (115)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (133)
49.5% (107)
+0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Jenner is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Jenner shoots left. Koivu is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Jenner
Koivu
Home
54.1% (575)
56.6% (410)
Away
54.1% (582)
52.9% (484)
By Period
Jenner
Koivu
P1
54.1%
51.7%
P2
53.1%
56.7%
P3
54.9%
55.3%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 01:05 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |