Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gordon wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.1% vs Koivu 54.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 86.0%
Defensive zone
Gordon 67.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 60.9%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Gordon
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Gordon
Koivu
Last 8: Gordon 3-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
4
Gordon
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
2
0
Gordon
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gordon
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (1,044)
54.0% (948)
+5.5%
Power Play
65.0% (100)
58.7% (225)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (348)
54.3% (138)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Gordon is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (971).
Gordon shoots right. Koivu is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Home / Away
Gordon
Koivu
Home
58.7% (692)
59.8% (669)
Away
54.6% (800)
49.7% (642)
By Period
Gordon
Koivu
P1
57.4%
53.4%
P2
55.2%
56.2%
P3
57.8%
56.3%
OT
28.6%
36.7%
Final 5 min
59.8%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.5%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 07:58 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |