Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Richardson wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.0% vs Koivu 55.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 60.9%
Defensive zone
Richardson 68.3%
Neutral zone
Richardson 55.9%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Richardson
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Richardson
Koivu
Last 10: Richardson 3-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
4
Richardson
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Richardson
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
4
Richardson
Koivu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (861)
56.6% (1,247)
-2.5%
Power Play
82.4% (17)
61.6% (344)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (83)
41.3% (167)
+10.5%
On power play, Richardson has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Richardson is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (611).
Richardson shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,142).
Home / Away
Richardson
Koivu
Home
53.2% (451)
58.1% (850)
Away
55.5% (510)
54.3% (908)
By Period
Richardson
Koivu
P1
52.6%
55.3%
P2
54.4%
57.2%
P3
55.7%
55.1%
OT
66.7%
77.3%
Final 5 min
56.6%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2016 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 06:41 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 06:31 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |