Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 54.3% vs Koivu 51.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 80.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 73.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 76.4%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Dubinsky
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Dubinsky
Koivu
Last 10: Dubinsky 2-8 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Dubinsky
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Dubinsky
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dubinsky
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (784)
50.7% (1,073)
+3.8%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
65.3% (216)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (147)
43.4% (286)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Dubinsky has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Dubinsky is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Dubinsky shoots left. Koivu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Koivu
Home
55.1% (521)
50.9% (752)
Away
54.3% (431)
51.8% (823)
By Period
Dubinsky
Koivu
P1
58.5%
51.9%
P2
49.8%
50.3%
P3
55.8%
51.4%
OT
63.6%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
54.7%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 16:25 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |