Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Saad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 48.0% vs Koivu 51.3% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Saad 53.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 77.3%
Neutral zone
Koivu 61.0%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Saad
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Saad
Koivu
Last 5: Saad 3-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Saad
3
0
Saad
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Saad
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Saad
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (91)
50.7% (1,073)
-5.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
65.3% (216)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
43.4% (286)
+4.2%
On power play, Koivu has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Saad is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Saad shoots left. Koivu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Saad
Koivu
Home
47.1% (51)
50.9% (752)
Away
45.7% (70)
51.8% (823)
By Period
Saad
Koivu
P1
43.9%
51.9%
P2
51.2%
50.3%
P3
43.2%
51.4%
Final 5 min
51.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
46.3%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |