Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.3%). Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.6% vs Koivu 52.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 77.8%
Defensive zone
Boyle 72.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 53.6%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Boyle
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Boyle
Koivu
Last 7: Boyle 5-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Boyle
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
3
0
Boyle
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (931)
52.5% (802)
+0.0%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
52.0% (198)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (209)
49.5% (105)
-3.1%
On power play, Boyle has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Boyle is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Boyle shoots left. Koivu is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Boyle
Koivu
Home
54.3% (595)
54.6% (584)
Away
49.4% (620)
49.7% (539)
By Period
Boyle
Koivu
P1
54.2%
50.7%
P2
50.0%
51.1%
P3
51.3%
54.4%
OT
42.9%
57.6%
Final 5 min
51.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |