Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 52.3% vs Koivu 54.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 53.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 50.7%
Neutral zone
Little 52.0%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Little
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Little
Koivu
Last 9: Little 1-8 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
5
Little
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Little
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (796)
55.1% (672)
-2.1%
Power Play
56.0% (116)
56.5% (115)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (90)
49.5% (107)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Little is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Little shoots right. Koivu is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Little
Koivu
Home
53.6% (491)
56.6% (410)
Away
51.5% (511)
52.9% (484)
By Period
Little
Koivu
P1
55.4%
51.7%
P2
50.6%
56.7%
P3
52.1%
55.3%
OT
37.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
52.5%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 09:52 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |