Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Soderberg wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 44.2% vs Koivu 54.5% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Soderberg 53.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 72.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 53.5%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Soderberg
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Soderberg
Koivu
Last 10: Soderberg 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
2
Soderberg
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Soderberg
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (318)
54.0% (948)
-11.9%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
58.7% (225)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
54.3% (138)
-54.3%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +54.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Soderberg is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Soderberg shoots left. Koivu is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Koivu
Home
45.5% (123)
59.8% (669)
Away
40.5% (205)
49.7% (642)
By Period
Soderberg
Koivu
P1
47.1%
53.4%
P2
41.7%
56.2%
P3
40.2%
56.3%
OT
33.3%
36.7%
Final 5 min
42.3%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 12:01 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |