Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Higgins on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Higgins wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Higgins 43.5% vs Koivu 53.6% (-17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 70.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 71.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 65.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Higgins
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Higgins
Koivu
Last 5: Higgins 3-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Higgins
1
0
Higgins
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Higgins
2
1
Higgins
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Higgins
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Higgins
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
36.2% (69)
53.6% (739)
-17.4%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
56.2% (137)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
53.7% (95)
-25.1%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Higgins is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Higgins shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Home / Away
Higgins
Koivu
Home
33.3% (54)
56.0% (495)
Away
40.5% (37)
51.9% (476)
By Period
Higgins
Koivu
P1
27.6%
54.9%
P2
52.2%
53.5%
P3
34.3%
53.6%
OT
25.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
35.7%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Higgins
42.0%▬
41.0%
36.3%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Chris Higgins |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Chris Higgins |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Chris Higgins |