Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 51.4%). Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.3% vs Koivu 51.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 52.2%
Defensive zone
Koivu 65.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 50.9%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Dvorak
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Dvorak
Koivu
Last 7: Dvorak 6-1 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (943)
50.7% (1,073)
+0.5%
Power Play
51.6% (122)
65.3% (216)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (74)
43.4% (286)
+9.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Dvorak is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Dvorak shoots left. Koivu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Koivu
Home
53.9% (523)
50.9% (752)
Away
49.2% (616)
51.8% (823)
By Period
Dvorak
Koivu
P1
56.7%
51.9%
P2
50.0%
50.3%
P3
46.7%
51.4%
OT
83.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 03:12 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |