Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 54.6% vs Koivu 52.8% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 80.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 68.1%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 60.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Dvorak
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Dvorak
Koivu
Last 7: Dvorak 5-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
0
Dvorak
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Dvorak
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (722)
53.9% (592)
+0.1%
Power Play
58.8% (187)
54.2% (96)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
48.8% (123)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Dvorak is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Dvorak shoots left. Koivu is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Koivu
Home
58.6% (444)
52.8% (386)
Away
52.1% (505)
53.4% (425)
By Period
Dvorak
Koivu
P1
54.5%
51.7%
P2
53.6%
54.8%
P3
57.1%
53.3%
OT
56.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 04:54 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |