Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.1% vs Koivu 55.8% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 70.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 65.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 68.6%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Giroux
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Giroux
Koivu
Last 6: Giroux 1-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Giroux
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Giroux
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (1,285)
56.6% (1,247)
-0.6%
Power Play
61.0% (405)
61.6% (344)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (191)
41.3% (167)
+18.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Giroux is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,234).
Giroux shoots right. Koivu is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Giroux
Koivu
Home
58.4% (942)
58.1% (850)
Away
56.5% (939)
54.3% (908)
By Period
Giroux
Koivu
P1
60.8%
55.3%
P2
54.7%
57.2%
P3
57.8%
55.1%
OT
49.0%
77.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
57.5%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2016 | OT | 00:46 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 7, 2016 | OT | 00:28 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |