Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Fraser wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 47.8% vs Koivu 53.6% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 70.5%
Defensive zone
Fraser 63.6%
Neutral zone
Fraser 69.5%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Fraser
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Fraser
Koivu
Last 5: Fraser 1-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
4
Fraser
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
0
Fraser
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (160)
53.6% (739)
-8.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
56.2% (137)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
53.7% (95)
-3.7%
On power play, Fraser has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Fraser is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Fraser shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Home / Away
Fraser
Koivu
Home
49.5% (95)
56.0% (495)
Away
42.5% (73)
51.9% (476)
By Period
Fraser
Koivu
P1
42.6%
54.9%
P2
48.1%
53.5%
P3
49.1%
53.6%
Final 5 min
56.7%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |