Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 52.7% vs Koivu 54.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 70.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 59.0%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 56.8%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Desharnais
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Desharnais
Koivu
Last 6: Desharnais 2-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
2
1
Desharnais
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Desharnais
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (994)
55.3% (1,268)
-3.9%
Power Play
61.5% (187)
57.6% (321)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
51.0% (202)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Desharnais is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Desharnais shoots left. Koivu is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Koivu
Home
53.8% (610)
58.3% (906)
Away
52.0% (579)
52.1% (885)
By Period
Desharnais
Koivu
P1
49.7%
53.0%
P2
57.7%
55.6%
P3
49.9%
56.6%
OT
66.7%
64.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
52.9%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2014 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | David Desharnais |