Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Steckel wins 61.1% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 61.0% vs Koivu 52.6% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 88.2%
Defensive zone
Steckel 52.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 67.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Steckel
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Steckel
Koivu
Last 6: Steckel 2-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Steckel
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
2
0
Steckel
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Steckel
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (595)
51.7% (842)
+10.1%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
55.2% (248)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (187)
55.6% (178)
+6.4%
On even strength, Steckel has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Steckel is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Steckel shoots left. Koivu is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (944).
Home / Away
Steckel
Koivu
Home
67.7% (424)
54.1% (621)
Away
56.6% (396)
51.6% (672)
By Period
Steckel
Koivu
P1
60.4%
52.0%
P2
64.9%
55.5%
P3
61.2%
51.2%
OT
77.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
64.6%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
62.3%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |