Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 54.8%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stoll wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.4% vs Koivu 54.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 69.0%
Defensive zone
Stoll 61.0%
Neutral zone
Stoll 50.5%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Stoll
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stoll
Koivu
Last 7: Stoll 2-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Stoll
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stoll
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Stoll
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (904)
54.0% (948)
+2.9%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
58.7% (225)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (243)
54.3% (138)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Stoll is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Stoll shoots right. Koivu is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Home / Away
Stoll
Koivu
Home
57.3% (618)
59.8% (669)
Away
52.2% (621)
49.7% (642)
By Period
Stoll
Koivu
P1
54.5%
53.4%
P2
57.2%
56.2%
P3
53.4%
56.3%
OT
35.3%
36.7%
Final 5 min
58.1%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2014 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 15:46 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |