Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.2% vs Koivu 54.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 70.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 64.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 53.2%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Beagle
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Beagle
Koivu
Last 10: Beagle 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
4
Beagle
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
3
Beagle
Koivu
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (284)
55.3% (1,268)
+2.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
57.6% (321)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (97)
51.0% (202)
+1.6%
On power play, Koivu has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Beagle is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Beagle shoots right. Koivu is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Beagle
Koivu
Home
57.9% (183)
58.3% (906)
Away
55.2% (201)
52.1% (885)
By Period
Beagle
Koivu
P1
54.7%
53.0%
P2
62.1%
55.6%
P3
50.9%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
64.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.5%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 00:12 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 08:02 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 02:51 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |