Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 54.1%). Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 41 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Koivu 54.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 64-55 in 119 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 56.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 55.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 56.0%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Carter
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
55
-
64
(119 meetings)
55
64
Carter
Koivu
Last 10: Carter 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
19
20
Carter
Koivu
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
17
24
Carter
Koivu
41 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
19
20
Carter
Koivu
39 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
54.0% (9,465)
-0.7%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
58.6% (2,100)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
48.9% (1,688)
-2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Carter
Koivu
Home
54.7% (5,752)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Carter
Koivu
P1
53.6%
53.5%
P2
52.8%
54.6%
P3
53.1%
54.0%
OT
56.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:16 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 00:31 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 03:54 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 19:10 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |