Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 48.5% vs Koivu 54.9% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 56.1%
Defensive zone
Vitale 87.9%
Neutral zone
Vitale 65.7%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Vitale
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Vitale
Koivu
Last 8: Vitale 2-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Vitale
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Vitale
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (539)
55.3% (1,268)
-4.5%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
57.6% (321)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (189)
51.0% (202)
-9.7%
On power play, Koivu has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Vitale is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Vitale shoots right. Koivu is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Vitale
Koivu
Home
46.9% (371)
58.3% (906)
Away
49.7% (362)
52.1% (885)
By Period
Vitale
Koivu
P1
52.9%
53.0%
P2
44.2%
55.6%
P3
47.9%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
64.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
48.3%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |