Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 49.1% vs Koivu 54.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 61.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 80.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 69.7%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Ward
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ward
Koivu
Last 5: Ward 3-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ward
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
1
0
Ward
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ward
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (339)
55.3% (1,219)
-2.5%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
63.5% (200)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
48.9% (280)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Ward is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Ward shoots right. Koivu is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Ward
Koivu
Home
53.4% (251)
55.6% (846)
Away
43.4% (205)
54.9% (853)
By Period
Ward
Koivu
P1
49.4%
57.4%
P2
46.9%
55.5%
P3
50.3%
52.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 17:45 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 18:59 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |