Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 120 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Koivu 54.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 171-140 in 311 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 82.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 59.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 72.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Toews
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
171
-
140
(311 meetings)
171
140
Toews
Koivu
Last 10: Toews 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
75
45
Toews
Koivu
120 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
36
46
Toews
Koivu
82 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
60
49
Toews
Koivu
109 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,043)
54.0% (9,465)
+3.2%
Power Play
63.3% (3,246)
58.6% (2,100)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
48.9% (1,688)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,650).
Toews shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Toews
Koivu
Home
59.7% (9,192)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
56.1% (8,938)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Toews
Koivu
P1
58.6%
53.5%
P2
57.8%
54.6%
P3
57.3%
54.0%
OT
58.8%
56.5%
Final 5 min
58.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.9%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |