Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kemppainen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kemppainen 49.6% vs Koivu 55.8% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 59.4%
Defensive zone
Kemppainen 77.2%
Neutral zone
Kemppainen 57.3%
Result
Joonas Kemppainen favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Kemppainen
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kemppainen
Koivu
Last 8: Kemppainen 3-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Kemppainen
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kemppainen
3
1
Kemppainen
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Kemppainen
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kemppainen
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (379)
56.6% (1,247)
-6.2%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
61.6% (344)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (65)
41.3% (167)
+1.8%
On power play, Koivu has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Kemppainen is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Kemppainen shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,142).
Home / Away
Kemppainen
Koivu
Home
49.3% (201)
58.1% (850)
Away
49.6% (258)
54.3% (908)
By Period
Kemppainen
Koivu
P1
50.3%
55.3%
P2
47.9%
57.2%
P3
50.7%
55.1%
OT
0.0%
77.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kemppainen
50.0%▲
48.5%
49.5%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Joonas Kemppainen |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Joonas Kemppainen |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 00:35 | Defensive | Joonas Kemppainen |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |