Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 47.3% vs Koivu 52.6% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 76.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 75.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 73.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Staal
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Staal
Koivu
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
4
Staal
Koivu
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
6
Staal
Koivu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (552)
51.7% (842)
-4.1%
Power Play
49.1% (110)
55.2% (248)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (111)
55.6% (178)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Staal shoots left. Koivu is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (944).
Home / Away
Staal
Koivu
Home
49.8% (400)
54.1% (621)
Away
44.1% (401)
51.6% (672)
By Period
Staal
Koivu
P1
53.7%
52.0%
P2
43.9%
55.5%
P3
43.5%
51.2%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.9%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 06:20 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:01 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |