Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 29 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Koivu 54.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 48-25 in 73 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 83.4%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 71.8%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 71.1%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Lehtera
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
48
(73 meetings)
25
48
Lehtera
Koivu
Last 10: Lehtera 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
14
11
Lehtera
Koivu
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
27
Lehtera
Koivu
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
9
10
Lehtera
Koivu
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
54.0% (9,465)
-3.6%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
58.6% (2,100)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
48.9% (1,688)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Lehtera shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Koivu
Home
53.7% (1,668)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Lehtera
Koivu
P1
53.2%
53.5%
P2
50.6%
54.6%
P3
48.1%
54.0%
OT
54.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
48.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2017 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 01:29 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 00:30 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |