Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 51.4%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 51.9% vs Koivu 51.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 76.8%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 60.7%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 53.5%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Brodziak
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Brodziak
Koivu
Last 8: Brodziak 2-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
4
Brodziak
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
1
Brodziak
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Brodziak
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (808)
50.7% (1,073)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
65.3% (216)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (149)
43.4% (286)
+3.6%
On power play, Koivu has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Brodziak is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Brodziak shoots right. Koivu is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Koivu
Home
56.6% (477)
50.9% (752)
Away
47.8% (490)
51.8% (823)
By Period
Brodziak
Koivu
P1
54.1%
51.9%
P2
55.5%
50.3%
P3
47.0%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |