Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kruger wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 48.5% vs Koivu 54.1% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 60.8%
Defensive zone
Kruger 80.6%
Neutral zone
Kruger 57.5%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Kruger
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Kruger
Koivu
Last 10: Kruger 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Kruger
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
2
1
Kruger
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Kruger
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (315)
55.1% (672)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
56.5% (115)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
49.5% (107)
-4.9%
On power play, Koivu has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Kruger is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Kruger shoots left. Koivu is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Kruger
Koivu
Home
49.3% (221)
56.6% (410)
Away
46.5% (170)
52.9% (484)
By Period
Kruger
Koivu
P1
55.9%
51.7%
P2
39.1%
56.7%
P3
48.4%
55.3%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2018 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 1 | 09:36 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |