Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cullen wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.0% vs Koivu 54.9% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 57.5%
Defensive zone
Cullen 53.3%
Neutral zone
Koivu 60.9%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Cullen
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Cullen
Koivu
Last 9: Cullen 5-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
4
1
Cullen
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Cullen
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (251)
55.3% (1,268)
-1.1%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
57.6% (321)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (24)
51.0% (202)
+7.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Cullen is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Cullen shoots left. Koivu is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Cullen
Koivu
Home
65.9% (126)
58.3% (906)
Away
44.7% (161)
52.1% (885)
By Period
Cullen
Koivu
P1
52.7%
53.0%
P2
55.9%
55.6%
P3
51.6%
56.6%
OT
75.0%
64.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
54.0%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |