Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.8%). Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Richards wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 53.5% vs Koivu 54.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 50.8%
Defensive zone
Richards 53.7%
Neutral zone
Richards 51.3%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Richards
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Richards
Koivu
Last 7: Richards 5-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
2
Richards
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (752)
54.0% (948)
-0.8%
Power Play
56.5% (85)
58.7% (225)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (70)
54.3% (138)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Richards is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Richards shoots left. Koivu is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Richards
Koivu
Home
57.0% (444)
59.8% (669)
Away
51.0% (463)
49.7% (642)
By Period
Richards
Koivu
P1
53.4%
53.4%
P2
55.8%
56.2%
P3
51.9%
56.3%
OT
66.7%
36.7%
Final 5 min
50.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
53.9%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2014 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Mike Richards |