Mikko Koivu vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 30 meetings). Koivu wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 86-53 in 139 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 85.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 94.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 94.4%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 91.8%
91.8%
8.2%
Koivu
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
86
-
53
(139 meetings)
86
53
Koivu
MacKinnon
Last 10: Koivu 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
22
20
Koivu
MacKinnon
42 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
24
6
Koivu
MacKinnon
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
40
27
Koivu
MacKinnon
67 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
46.1% (11,218)
+7.9%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
53.3% (1,412)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
42.8% (502)
+6.1%
On even strength, Koivu has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Koivu shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Koivu
MacKinnon
Home
55.8% (6,577)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Koivu
MacKinnon
P1
53.5%
47.4%
P2
54.6%
46.6%
P3
54.0%
46.1%
OT
56.5%
48.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 05:57 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |