Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Koivu wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs MacKinnon 47.5% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 78.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 72.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 82.2%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Koivu
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Koivu
MacKinnon
Last 5: Koivu 4-1 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,268)
45.2% (365)
+10.1%
Power Play
57.6% (321)
57.1% (63)
+0.5%
On even strength, Koivu has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Koivu is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Koivu shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Koivu
MacKinnon
Home
58.3% (906)
48.0% (225)
Away
52.1% (885)
45.8% (203)
By Period
Koivu
MacKinnon
P1
53.0%
41.1%
P2
55.6%
49.6%
P3
56.6%
48.9%
OT
64.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 00:33 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |