Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 61.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 55.8% vs MacKinnon 48.6% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 84.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 81.1%
Neutral zone
Koivu 81.0%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Koivu
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Koivu
MacKinnon
Last 10: Koivu 8-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
0
Koivu
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
1
Koivu
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
2
Koivu
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,247)
48.2% (849)
+8.4%
Power Play
61.6% (344)
51.0% (151)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (167)
44.7% (47)
-3.4%
On power play, Koivu has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Koivu is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (616).
Koivu shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Koivu
MacKinnon
Home
58.1% (850)
51.2% (521)
Away
54.3% (908)
45.6% (526)
By Period
Koivu
MacKinnon
P1
55.3%
49.9%
P2
57.2%
48.0%
P3
55.1%
47.9%
OT
77.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:02 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |